Will Nifty reclaim 19500 or fall further in trade – See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens

GIFT Nifty traded down 90 points or 0.46% at 19385, indicating a negative opening for domestic indices NSE Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex on Friday. Previously on Thursday, the NSE Nifty 50 dropped 48.20 points or 0.25% to settle at 19,395.30, while the BSE Sensex shed 143.41 points to 64,832.20. 

“Markets remained range bound for the third day in a row and ended marginally lower.  After the flat start, Nifty remained in a narrow range till the end and finally settled around the day’s low at 19,401.20 level. A mixed trend continued on the sectoral front wherein realty and auto posted decent gains while FMCG and oil & gas ended in the red. Amid all, resilience continued on the broader front and both midcap and smallcap index closed unchanged,” said Ajit Mishra, SVP – Technical Research, Religare Broking.

“The recent pause is the index is largely in sync with the global markets, especially the US, and needs a decisive break from the 19,200-19,500 zone for the next move. Meanwhile, stay focused on identifying the sectors and themes that are performing well and utilize intermediate dips to add quality stocks,” Ajit Mishra added.

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Key things to know before share market opens on November 10, 2023

Wall Street

US stocks closed lower on Thursday, snapping the longest winning streaks for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 in two years, as Treasury yields climbed after a disappointing auction of 30-year bonds and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, reported Reuters. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 128.97 points or 0.94 % to 13,521.45. The S&P 500 tumbled 35.43 points or 0.81 % to 4,347.35, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 220.33 points or 0.65% to 33,891.94.

US Dollar 

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies, traded down 0.05% at 105.86.

Crude Oil 

WTI crude prices are trading at $75.70 down 0.09%, while Brent crude prices are trading at $80.04 up 0.04%, on Friday morning. 

Asian Market

Shares in the Asia-Pacific region are trading in the red on Friday morning. The Asia Dow is trading down 1.60%, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down 0.81%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index is trading down 1.58%, and the benchmark Chinese index, Shanghai Composite, is also down 0.55%.

FII, DII Data

Foreign institutional investors (FII) offloaded shares worth net Rs 1,712.33 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DII) added shares worth net Rs 1,512.14 crore on November 9, 2023, according to the provisional data available on the NSE.

F&O Ban

The NSE has added Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals, MCX India, Delta Corp and Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals to its F&O ban list for November 10, 2023.

Technical View

Commenting on the technical outlook of the NSE Nifty 50, Jatin Gedia – Technical Research Analyst at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas, said, “On the daily charts, we can observe that the Nifty is consolidating the range 19,400 – 19,500 where resistance in the form of the key daily moving averages are placed which restricts the upside On the downside the gap area formed in the range 19,280 – 19,310 is a crucial support from short term perspective. Unless the range is decisively breached on either side we can expect the range-bound action to continue. Regarding levels, 19,460 – 19,500 is the immediate hurdle zone while 19,280 – 19,310 is the crucial support zone.

Bank Nifty Outlook

Bank Nifty index added 24.95 points or 0.06% to settle at 43,683.60 on Thursday. The index has remained sideways during the day as it sustained above the support at 43,500 while it failed to reach the crucial resistance of 44,000. Going forward, the trend is likely to remain sideways to positive as long as it sustains above 43,500. The index has been lacking momentum at the higher levels. A fall below 43,500 might signal a failure of the current trend; below 43,500, the index might fall towards 43,000-42,800,” said Rupak De, Senior Technical analyst at LKP Securities.

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